← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.37+1.23vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University1.29+1.82vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University0.91+1.46vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy1.19+0.06vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-0.24vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62-1.10vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University1.22-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.23Georgetown University2.370.4%1st Place
-
3.82Old Dominion University1.290.1%1st Place
-
4.46Georgetown University0.910.1%1st Place
-
4.06U. S. Naval Academy1.190.1%1st Place
-
4.76St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
-
4.9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.1%1st Place
-
3.77George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Bates | 41.7% | 23.8% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Esther Ireland | 11.6% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 9.3% |
| Alexa Shea | 7.7% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 18.5% | 17.6% |
| Ava Farley | 11.2% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 17.3% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 11.2% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 6.5% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 18.9% | 24.8% |
| Maisy Sperry | 6.9% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 19.5% | 27.9% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 14.4% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.