Race 1A

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Toby Clarkson 22.8% 17.4% 17.3% 11.2% 10.2% 8.7% 6.7% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6%
Buck Rathbun 13.7% 16.2% 13.7% 14.5% 11.0% 10.9% 8.3% 6.5% 4.7% 0.5%
Sam Harris 15.1% 12.9% 13.0% 12.7% 15.1% 12.4% 7.7% 6.3% 3.7% 1.1%
Curtis Mallory 4.3% 6.3% 7.1% 8.4% 9.1% 10.9% 12.9% 14.6% 17.5% 8.9%
Robert Heath 11.6% 11.6% 12.1% 11.6% 12.2% 13.1% 10.5% 8.3% 6.4% 2.6%
Isabella Cho 13.4% 11.9% 10.3% 13.5% 12.2% 10.7% 10.7% 9.2% 6.1% 2.0%
Jordynn Johnson 6.0% 8.4% 9.6% 7.8% 10.9% 11.3% 14.3% 13.2% 13.0% 5.5%
Kevin McNeill 4.4% 5.9% 7.3% 7.6% 7.7% 8.5% 11.3% 15.9% 19.7% 11.7%
Marshall Rodes 7.2% 8.1% 8.0% 9.7% 9.2% 10.8% 13.3% 14.2% 13.3% 6.2%
Colin Kenny 1.5% 1.3% 1.6% 3.0% 2.4% 2.7% 4.3% 8.4% 13.9% 60.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.