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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+6.55vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.06+7.51vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.78+7.93vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.19+4.95vs Predicted
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5Stanford University4.19+3.90vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin4.10+3.37vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University4.01+3.03vs Predicted
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8Harvard University4.36-0.14vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.90+5.77vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University3.36+2.75vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.88-0.57vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+3.24vs Predicted
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13Tufts University4.08-3.18vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.49-1.88vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.73-3.99vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University4.71-9.40vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-7.23vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-6.37vs Predicted
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19U. S. Naval Academy3.34-6.22vs Predicted
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20Brown University3.98-10.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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9.51Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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10.93Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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8.95Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.9Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.37University of Wisconsin4.100.0%1st Place
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10.03Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
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7.86Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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14.77Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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12.75Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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10.43Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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15.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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9.82Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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12.12University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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11.01University of Vermont3.730.0%1st Place
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6.6Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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11.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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12.78U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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9.97Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Blouin | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sam Williams | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Kieran Chung | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Dillon Paiva | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Brendan Kopp | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Peter Edmunds | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 21.5% |
| Kyle Carney | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% |
| Alex Cook | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 26.8% |
| William Haeger | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Will Stocke | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% |
| Olin Davis | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Alec Anderson | 10.2% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% |
| Devin Laviano | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% |
| Colin Smith | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.