Race 2A

maisa-spring-women-fleet-race

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Piper Holthus 17.5% 16.7% 15.0% 13.9% 10.9% 7.6% 7.7% 4.6% 2.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Bridget Green 23.5% 19.7% 16.1% 13.6% 10.4% 5.9% 4.3% 2.9% 2.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Cutler 4.2% 3.8% 4.8% 5.4% 7.2% 7.2% 8.2% 10.2% 10.9% 10.5% 11.2% 8.5% 6.3% 1.6%
Eva Blauvelt 13.6% 13.5% 13.4% 12.7% 12.0% 11.5% 8.2% 6.5% 4.7% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Elizabeth Gildea 4.0% 5.1% 4.7% 6.6% 8.0% 8.5% 9.0% 8.6% 9.6% 11.1% 9.2% 8.8% 5.7% 1.4%
Avery Canavan 4.5% 5.9% 6.9% 7.0% 6.9% 9.7% 9.5% 11.4% 10.2% 10.3% 7.9% 6.2% 2.8% 1.0%
Torrey Chisari 10.8% 12.8% 11.7% 11.4% 10.8% 10.2% 9.6% 8.4% 6.5% 4.5% 2.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Cho-Cho Williams 4.0% 4.5% 5.4% 5.8% 6.5% 8.2% 7.8% 9.2% 10.4% 11.4% 11.3% 8.6% 5.2% 1.7%
Annika VanderHorst 2.9% 2.5% 3.8% 4.2% 4.7% 6.5% 6.5% 8.2% 10.8% 10.4% 13.4% 11.8% 10.1% 4.2%
Kennedy Jones 1.7% 1.8% 2.9% 2.6% 3.7% 4.0% 5.3% 5.9% 7.4% 9.8% 12.7% 16.4% 16.3% 9.6%
Eva Leggett 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 1.0% 0.6% 1.3% 1.6% 2.3% 2.5% 3.7% 5.5% 9.6% 17.8% 51.9%
Carly Mraz 1.1% 0.9% 1.4% 1.7% 2.6% 2.5% 4.0% 3.9% 4.3% 6.8% 8.6% 12.7% 25.0% 24.6%
Grace Watlington 2.6% 3.2% 3.7% 4.9% 5.0% 6.6% 7.0% 9.1% 9.7% 9.8% 11.8% 13.0% 9.7% 4.0%
Heather Kerns 8.5% 8.7% 9.8% 9.3% 10.7% 10.6% 11.4% 8.8% 8.2% 6.6% 4.2% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.