Race 2A

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Curtis Mallory 5.9% 6.8% 7.2% 8.4% 8.1% 9.7% 11.6% 14.1% 18.3% 9.9%
Buck Rathbun 15.0% 13.5% 14.9% 12.7% 14.0% 9.5% 8.0% 7.3% 4.2% 0.9%
Robert Heath 11.0% 11.5% 10.3% 11.4% 11.4% 14.0% 11.3% 9.7% 7.1% 2.3%
Jordynn Johnson 6.7% 6.8% 10.1% 8.6% 11.3% 11.9% 12.9% 12.7% 13.1% 5.9%
Toby Clarkson 19.9% 19.8% 15.2% 16.5% 9.0% 8.2% 5.5% 3.7% 1.7% 0.5%
Isabella Cho 14.3% 10.4% 11.4% 11.8% 13.4% 10.8% 11.2% 8.7% 6.1% 1.9%
Sam Harris 13.6% 16.2% 13.7% 13.8% 11.1% 11.6% 10.0% 5.7% 3.2% 1.1%
Kevin McNeill 4.4% 6.4% 7.2% 7.0% 7.4% 8.9% 12.2% 16.7% 18.6% 11.2%
Marshall Rodes 7.7% 7.7% 7.6% 7.8% 11.0% 12.5% 13.2% 13.9% 12.9% 5.7%
Colin Kenny 1.5% 0.9% 2.4% 2.0% 3.3% 2.9% 4.1% 7.5% 14.8% 60.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.