Race 3A

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Robert Heath 11.5% 12.6% 11.3% 12.0% 11.5% 10.8% 11.9% 8.9% 6.8% 2.7%
Isabella Cho 11.7% 11.4% 13.0% 11.6% 12.6% 11.6% 10.4% 9.5% 6.8% 1.4%
Buck Rathbun 16.0% 12.2% 12.6% 14.5% 14.1% 11.4% 8.0% 6.5% 3.7% 1.0%
Sam Harris 14.5% 15.1% 14.2% 12.5% 12.7% 11.8% 8.3% 6.1% 3.8% 1.0%
Kevin McNeill 5.7% 6.1% 6.8% 5.8% 8.6% 9.1% 12.1% 15.0% 20.1% 10.7%
Toby Clarkson 21.2% 18.2% 15.7% 14.2% 11.1% 8.8% 5.9% 3.5% 1.2% 0.2%
Curtis Mallory 4.4% 6.4% 6.9% 7.9% 8.6% 11.2% 13.7% 16.0% 15.4% 9.5%
Marshall Rodes 5.9% 8.7% 9.8% 9.5% 8.5% 11.3% 13.2% 13.5% 14.0% 5.6%
Jordynn Johnson 7.8% 7.8% 8.5% 8.7% 9.6% 10.8% 13.1% 13.3% 14.3% 6.1%
Colin Kenny 1.3% 1.5% 1.2% 3.3% 2.7% 3.2% 3.4% 7.7% 13.9% 61.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.