Race 4A

penobscot-bay-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Marshall Rodes 7.9% 7.8% 9.3% 8.0% 10.2% 10.2% 11.6% 15.7% 13.1% 6.2%
Curtis Mallory 6.5% 4.3% 6.7% 8.5% 9.0% 9.5% 11.7% 14.9% 18.8% 10.1%
Buck Rathbun 14.3% 15.1% 13.0% 13.1% 14.0% 10.4% 9.4% 5.1% 4.5% 1.1%
Sam Harris 14.6% 13.5% 15.1% 14.0% 12.0% 10.7% 9.7% 5.5% 3.9% 1.0%
Isabella Cho 12.7% 11.5% 12.5% 11.7% 13.4% 12.4% 9.4% 7.9% 6.8% 1.7%
Robert Heath 12.5% 11.8% 12.0% 11.9% 9.9% 12.7% 11.7% 9.0% 6.1% 2.4%
Kevin McNeill 4.4% 5.7% 4.9% 7.2% 8.3% 11.7% 12.0% 16.0% 18.6% 11.2%
Jordynn Johnson 6.1% 8.9% 9.3% 10.4% 8.8% 10.1% 14.5% 13.6% 13.1% 5.2%
Toby Clarkson 19.7% 20.6% 15.1% 12.5% 11.8% 8.7% 6.5% 3.1% 1.3% 0.7%
Colin Kenny 1.3% 0.8% 2.1% 2.7% 2.6% 3.6% 3.5% 9.2% 13.8% 60.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.