Race 5A

penobscot-bay-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sam Harris 17.9% 16.3% 13.1% 12.7% 10.3% 10.7% 8.6% 6.2% 3.3% 0.9%
Buck Rathbun 16.2% 15.1% 13.6% 14.4% 12.2% 8.9% 8.5% 6.0% 4.7% 0.4%
Isabella Cho 12.2% 12.1% 12.1% 9.8% 13.1% 15.1% 8.7% 8.9% 6.4% 1.6%
Robert Heath 11.8% 11.2% 13.7% 12.5% 12.4% 10.7% 10.6% 8.9% 6.1% 2.1%
Finn Deprez 14.6% 14.0% 14.3% 13.2% 13.2% 9.6% 9.1% 6.5% 4.0% 1.5%
Kevin McNeill 6.0% 5.4% 6.6% 7.0% 7.8% 9.8% 12.2% 13.0% 19.4% 12.8%
Curtis Mallory 4.6% 7.0% 7.2% 9.1% 7.3% 11.3% 13.2% 15.2% 15.7% 9.4%
Jordynn Johnson 6.9% 10.0% 9.3% 9.4% 10.7% 8.7% 14.4% 12.4% 13.2% 5.0%
Marshall Rodes 8.4% 7.7% 7.4% 9.6% 10.2% 12.2% 11.0% 13.9% 14.1% 5.5%
Colin Kenny 1.4% 1.2% 2.7% 2.3% 2.8% 3.0% 3.7% 9.0% 13.1% 60.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.