Race 6A

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Isabella Cho 12.9% 13.5% 11.7% 13.5% 11.9% 10.3% 10.2% 7.7% 7.1% 1.2%
Curtis Mallory 7.0% 5.1% 6.6% 8.6% 7.7% 10.5% 13.0% 14.4% 18.3% 8.8%
Buck Rathbun 15.8% 13.6% 13.7% 13.1% 14.1% 10.9% 8.0% 6.1% 3.6% 1.1%
Finn Deprez 14.0% 15.9% 13.5% 13.1% 12.6% 10.5% 8.7% 7.0% 3.8% 0.9%
Jordynn Johnson 7.9% 8.4% 8.5% 9.1% 10.1% 11.2% 13.3% 12.7% 13.9% 4.9%
Kevin McNeill 6.4% 5.1% 7.4% 5.9% 8.1% 9.6% 11.4% 15.1% 18.2% 12.8%
Sam Harris 15.2% 14.7% 16.2% 12.9% 12.4% 10.9% 8.0% 5.5% 3.4% 0.8%
Robert Heath 11.7% 14.0% 11.6% 11.2% 12.7% 10.8% 10.0% 10.1% 6.4% 1.5%
Marshall Rodes 7.9% 7.9% 9.1% 9.6% 8.1% 12.2% 12.9% 13.4% 13.3% 5.6%
Colin Kenny 1.2% 1.8% 1.7% 3.0% 2.3% 3.1% 4.5% 8.0% 12.0% 62.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.