Race 7A

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Finn Deprez 17.0% 15.4% 14.6% 13.3% 12.2% 10.1% 8.3% 6.4% 2.0% 0.7%
Sam Harris 17.1% 16.1% 14.9% 13.8% 13.4% 8.8% 8.8% 4.9% 2.1% 0.1%
Isabella Cho 13.4% 12.5% 12.0% 13.1% 15.0% 11.9% 11.0% 6.8% 3.7% 0.6%
Robert Heath 12.7% 12.2% 14.7% 12.6% 13.0% 12.4% 11.0% 6.9% 3.6% 0.9%
Jordynn Johnson 8.7% 8.6% 9.8% 9.7% 11.0% 13.0% 14.6% 14.5% 7.7% 2.4%
Curtis Mallory 7.4% 6.6% 7.4% 8.9% 9.8% 11.5% 14.1% 16.6% 13.4% 4.3%
Kevin McNeill 4.2% 6.4% 8.5% 7.9% 7.9% 13.7% 13.6% 17.7% 14.9% 5.2%
Buck Rathbun 16.8% 18.7% 13.4% 14.0% 12.8% 10.2% 7.1% 5.0% 1.5% 0.5%
Julian Bokulich 1.8% 1.5% 2.5% 3.3% 2.0% 4.9% 5.3% 10.2% 26.4% 42.1%
Colin Kenny 0.9% 2.0% 2.2% 3.4% 2.9% 3.5% 6.2% 11.0% 24.7% 43.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.