Race 8A

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Curtis Mallory 6.6% 8.1% 7.6% 9.4% 8.8% 12.1% 13.0% 17.3% 12.4% 4.7%
Robert Heath 13.1% 12.1% 13.5% 10.7% 14.2% 12.5% 9.9% 9.1% 4.5% 0.4%
Jordynn Johnson 7.4% 8.5% 9.2% 9.6% 11.0% 12.6% 15.7% 14.0% 9.6% 2.4%
Kevin McNeill 4.9% 6.1% 6.7% 8.5% 9.7% 11.9% 14.6% 17.8% 13.9% 5.9%
Buck Rathbun 16.7% 17.3% 14.5% 14.1% 13.4% 10.1% 6.7% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7%
Isabella Cho 15.3% 12.8% 12.4% 13.2% 12.7% 11.8% 11.2% 6.8% 2.9% 0.9%
Sam Harris 16.2% 16.4% 15.9% 14.9% 12.6% 10.3% 7.6% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4%
Finn Deprez 16.6% 15.0% 15.7% 14.2% 11.3% 10.8% 8.4% 5.6% 2.0% 0.4%
Julian Bokulich 2.1% 1.6% 2.1% 2.7% 2.9% 3.8% 7.4% 11.0% 24.4% 42.0%
Colin Kenny 1.1% 2.1% 2.4% 2.7% 3.4% 4.1% 5.5% 9.9% 26.6% 42.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.