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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.75+2.06vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.24+4.78vs Predicted
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3Penn State University0.96+4.69vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.08+3.41vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.90+0.07vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-2.12vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.94+0.79vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.70-2.45vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.61-0.19vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech0.07+0.50vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.85-2.87vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University0.81-3.58vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-0.40-1.27vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech0.07-3.50vs Predicted
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15American University-1.20-1.74vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland-0.53-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06U. S. Naval Academy2.750.3%1st Place
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6.78Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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7.69Penn State University0.960.0%1st Place
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7.41Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.07George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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3.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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7.79St. Mary's College of Maryland0.940.1%1st Place
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5.55U. S. Naval Academy1.700.1%1st Place
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8.81Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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10.5Virginia Tech0.070.0%1st Place
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8.13Christopher Newport University0.850.0%1st Place
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8.42Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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11.73William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
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10.5Virginia Tech0.070.0%1st Place
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13.26American University-1.200.0%1st Place
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11.93University of Maryland-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Reinecke | 29.2% | 21.8% | 15.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mason Cook | 16.4% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Opert | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Leo Robillard | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 21.9% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 18.9% | 47.6% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 23.0% | 21.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.