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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.90+3.95vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.70+3.43vs Predicted
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3Penn State University0.96+4.75vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.24+2.90vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.75-1.87vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-2.13vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.81+1.12vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.94-0.14vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.61-0.18vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.40+1.69vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland-0.53+0.96vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.08-4.36vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech0.07-2.40vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.85-5.95vs Predicted
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15American University-1.20-1.77vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech0.07-5.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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5.43U. S. Naval Academy1.700.1%1st Place
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7.75Penn State University0.960.0%1st Place
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6.9Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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3.13U. S. Naval Academy2.750.3%1st Place
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3.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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8.12Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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7.86St. Mary's College of Maryland0.940.0%1st Place
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8.82Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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11.69William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
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11.96University of Maryland-0.530.0%1st Place
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7.64Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.6Virginia Tech0.070.0%1st Place
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8.05Christopher Newport University0.850.0%1st Place
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13.23American University-1.200.0%1st Place
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10.6Virginia Tech0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wood | 11.3% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leo Robillard | 8.7% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 27.0% | 20.3% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Cook | 17.6% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Opert | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 24.4% | 15.7% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 22.9% | 21.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 18.5% | 49.2% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.