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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.98+8.80vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+5.55vs Predicted
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3Stanford University4.19+6.08vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin4.10+5.31vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.73+6.06vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.49+6.32vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.88+3.72vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+1.70vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.19-0.21vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University4.71-3.41vs Predicted
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11Harvard University4.36-2.81vs Predicted
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12Tufts University4.08-2.38vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University3.36+0.17vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+1.03vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.90-0.39vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College4.06-6.52vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.34-4.30vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-6.40vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College3.78-8.23vs Predicted
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20Old Dominion University4.01-10.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.8Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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9.08Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.31University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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11.06University of Vermont3.730.0%1st Place
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12.32University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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10.72Boston College3.880.0%1st Place
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9.7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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8.79Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.59Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.19Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.62Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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13.17Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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15.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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14.61Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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9.48Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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12.7U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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11.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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10.77Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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9.92Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Smith | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Samuel Blouin | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Kieran Chung | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Olin Davis | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Will Stocke | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% |
| Alex Cook | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Alec Anderson | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Kopp | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| William Haeger | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Kyle Carney | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.2% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 24.8% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 23.5% |
| Sam Williams | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Devin Laviano | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Dillon Paiva | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.