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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.75+2.05vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.70+3.42vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.90+1.93vs Predicted
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4Penn State University0.96+3.73vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.08+2.43vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.94+1.86vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.24-0.18vs Predicted
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8Hampton University0.61+0.82vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-0.40+2.59vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.81-1.73vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech0.07-0.63vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-7.94vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland-0.53-0.99vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.85-5.95vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech0.07-4.63vs Predicted
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16American University-1.50-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05U. S. Naval Academy2.750.3%1st Place
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5.42U. S. Naval Academy1.700.1%1st Place
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4.93George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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7.73Penn State University0.960.0%1st Place
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7.43Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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7.86St. Mary's College of Maryland0.940.0%1st Place
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6.82Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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8.82Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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11.59William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
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8.27Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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10.37Virginia Tech0.070.0%1st Place
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4.06St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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12.01University of Maryland-0.530.0%1st Place
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8.05Christopher Newport University0.850.0%1st Place
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10.37Virginia Tech0.070.0%1st Place
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13.58American University-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Reinecke | 28.9% | 22.0% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leo Robillard | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 11.9% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Opert | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 17.3% | 23.7% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Mason Cook | 16.2% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 16.4% | 25.6% | 18.6% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Curtis | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 16.3% | 57.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.