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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.75+2.06vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.08+5.31vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.85+5.03vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.24+2.96vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.81+3.37vs Predicted
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6Penn State University0.96+1.84vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.70-1.40vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.07+2.51vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.94-1.13vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-6.01vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.90-5.90vs Predicted
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12Hampton University0.61-2.90vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech0.07-2.49vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-0.40-2.13vs Predicted
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15American University-0.66-2.64vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland-0.53-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06U. S. Naval Academy2.750.3%1st Place
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7.31Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.03Christopher Newport University0.850.0%1st Place
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6.96Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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8.37Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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7.84Penn State University0.960.0%1st Place
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5.6U. S. Naval Academy1.700.1%1st Place
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10.51Virginia Tech0.070.0%1st Place
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7.87St. Mary's College of Maryland0.940.0%1st Place
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3.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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5.1George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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9.1Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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10.51Virginia Tech0.070.0%1st Place
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11.87William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
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12.36American University-0.660.0%1st Place
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12.05University of Maryland-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Reinecke | 28.8% | 22.2% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Leo Robillard | 10.7% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Opert | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mason Cook | 17.6% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 10.8% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 20.0% | 23.1% | 0.0% |
| Miles White | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 20.2% | 31.3% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 19.8% | 27.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.