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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.90+3.92vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.07+8.23vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.75-0.01vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.08+3.34vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-1.00vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.24+0.97vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.61+1.82vs Predicted
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8Penn State University0.96-0.23vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.85-0.89vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.70-4.36vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech0.07-0.77vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University0.81-3.77vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.94-4.92vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-0.40-2.25vs Predicted
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15American University-1.20-1.74vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland-0.53-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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10.23Virginia Tech0.070.0%1st Place
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2.99U. S. Naval Academy2.750.3%1st Place
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7.34Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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4.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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6.97Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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8.82Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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7.77Penn State University0.960.1%1st Place
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8.11Christopher Newport University0.850.0%1st Place
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5.64U. S. Naval Academy1.700.1%1st Place
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10.23Virginia Tech0.070.0%1st Place
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8.23Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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8.08St. Mary's College of Maryland0.940.0%1st Place
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11.75William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
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13.26American University-1.200.0%1st Place
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11.89University of Maryland-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wood | 13.1% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 28.8% | 22.2% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Cook | 16.3% | 18.2% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Leo Robillard | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Opert | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 23.3% | 17.0% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 19.0% | 47.4% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 22.0% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.