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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.75+1.80vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+1.49vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.24+3.35vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.61+4.34vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.70+0.21vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.07+3.98vs Predicted
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7Penn State University0.96+0.20vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.08-1.04vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.85-1.51vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.94-2.57vs Predicted
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11George Washington University-0.62+0.84vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech0.07-2.02vs Predicted
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13American University-0.66-0.83vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.81-6.06vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-0.53-3.39vs Predicted
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16William and Mary-0.40-4.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8U. S. Naval Academy2.750.3%1st Place
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3.49St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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6.35Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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8.34Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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5.21U. S. Naval Academy1.700.1%1st Place
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9.98Virginia Tech0.070.0%1st Place
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7.2Penn State University0.960.1%1st Place
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6.96Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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7.49Christopher Newport University0.850.0%1st Place
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7.43St. Mary's College of Maryland0.940.0%1st Place
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11.84George Washington University-0.620.0%1st Place
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9.98Virginia Tech0.070.0%1st Place
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12.17American University-0.660.0%1st Place
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7.94Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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11.61University of Maryland-0.530.0%1st Place
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11.19William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Reinecke | 31.2% | 23.2% | 17.1% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Cook | 21.1% | 19.7% | 18.1% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 6.6% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Leo Robillard | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Opert | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Frank Wildi | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 18.7% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles White | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 19.9% | 26.6% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 21.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 16.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.