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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+2.57vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.85+5.42vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.24+3.35vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.75-1.14vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.94+2.42vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.81+1.76vs Predicted
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7Penn State University0.96+0.17vs Predicted
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8Hampton University0.61+0.38vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.08-2.13vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech0.070.00vs Predicted
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11George Washington University-0.62+0.86vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-0.40-0.46vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech0.07-3.00vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy1.70-8.72vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-0.53-3.37vs Predicted
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16American University-0.66-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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7.42Christopher Newport University0.850.0%1st Place
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6.35Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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2.86U. S. Naval Academy2.750.3%1st Place
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7.42St. Mary's College of Maryland0.940.0%1st Place
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7.76Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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7.17Penn State University0.960.1%1st Place
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8.38Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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6.87Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.0Virginia Tech0.070.0%1st Place
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11.86George Washington University-0.620.0%1st Place
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11.54William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
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10.0Virginia Tech0.070.0%1st Place
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5.28U. S. Naval Academy1.700.1%1st Place
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11.63University of Maryland-0.530.0%1st Place
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11.89American University-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Cook | 20.7% | 20.9% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 28.9% | 23.4% | 17.3% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Opert | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Frank Wildi | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 19.5% | 24.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 19.0% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Leo Robillard | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 19.8% | 20.1% | 0.0% |
| Miles White | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 19.3% | 24.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.