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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+2.58vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.85+5.48vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.75-0.23vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.70+1.09vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.94+2.39vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.61+2.41vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.24-0.61vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.08-1.09vs Predicted
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9Penn State University0.96-1.78vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.81-2.22vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech0.07-0.99vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech0.07-1.99vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-0.40-1.51vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-0.53-2.26vs Predicted
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15American University-0.66-3.07vs Predicted
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16George Washington University-0.62-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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7.48Christopher Newport University0.850.0%1st Place
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2.77U. S. Naval Academy2.750.3%1st Place
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5.09U. S. Naval Academy1.700.1%1st Place
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7.39St. Mary's College of Maryland0.940.1%1st Place
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8.41Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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6.39Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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6.91Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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7.22Penn State University0.960.0%1st Place
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7.78Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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10.01Virginia Tech0.070.0%1st Place
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10.01Virginia Tech0.070.0%1st Place
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11.49William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
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11.74University of Maryland-0.530.0%1st Place
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11.93American University-0.660.0%1st Place
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11.8George Washington University-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Cook | 20.3% | 21.1% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 30.4% | 22.5% | 18.6% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leo Robillard | 10.2% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Opert | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 16.3% | 17.9% | 16.8% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 22.1% | 0.0% |
| Miles White | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 19.3% | 24.3% | 0.0% |
| Frank Wildi | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 18.7% | 24.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.