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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University0.81+6.59vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+1.51vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.85+4.48vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.40+7.27vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.24+1.50vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.61+2.36vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.70-1.91vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.75-5.11vs Predicted
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9Penn State University0.96-1.77vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech0.07+0.09vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.94-3.62vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.08-4.91vs Predicted
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13American University-0.66-0.90vs Predicted
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14George Washington University-0.62-2.15vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-0.53-3.44vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech0.07-5.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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3.51St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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7.48Christopher Newport University0.850.0%1st Place
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11.27William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.5Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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8.36Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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5.09U. S. Naval Academy1.700.1%1st Place
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2.89U. S. Naval Academy2.750.3%1st Place
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7.23Penn State University0.960.0%1st Place
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10.09Virginia Tech0.070.0%1st Place
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7.38St. Mary's College of Maryland0.940.0%1st Place
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7.09Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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12.1American University-0.660.0%1st Place
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11.85George Washington University-0.620.0%1st Place
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11.56University of Maryland-0.530.0%1st Place
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10.09Virginia Tech0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianna Dewey | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Cook | 21.4% | 20.4% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Leo Robillard | 11.0% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 29.1% | 25.0% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Opert | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Miles White | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 21.4% | 26.3% | 0.0% |
| Frank Wildi | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 19.9% | 22.7% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 18.0% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.