← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+10.52vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont3.73+9.10vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University4.08+6.57vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+3.52vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University4.19+3.80vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida3.49+6.33vs Predicted
-
7University of Wisconsin4.10+2.63vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University4.36-0.02vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.98+0.79vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College2.90+4.84vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-0.96vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University4.01-2.05vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University4.71-6.02vs Predicted
-
14Dartmouth College4.06-4.61vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University3.36-2.33vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-1.05vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College3.78-6.39vs Predicted
-
18Yale University4.19-8.99vs Predicted
-
19Boston College3.88-8.68vs Predicted
-
20U. S. Naval Academy3.34-7.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
-
11.1University of Vermont3.730.0%1st Place
-
9.57Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
-
7.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
-
8.8Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
-
12.33University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
-
9.63University of Wisconsin4.100.0%1st Place
-
7.98Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
-
9.79Brown University3.980.0%1st Place
-
14.84Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
-
10.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
-
9.95Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
-
6.98Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
-
9.39Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
-
12.67Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
-
14.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
-
10.61Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
-
9.01Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
-
10.32Boston College3.880.0%1st Place
-
12.99U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eamon Glackin | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| Olin Davis | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| William Haeger | 6.1% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Samuel Blouin | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Kieran Chung | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Will Stocke | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Brendan Kopp | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Colin Smith | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Peter Edmunds | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 22.4% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Alec Anderson | 10.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Williams | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 25.4% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Alex Cook | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Devin Laviano | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.