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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.63+2.72vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.20+0.62vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.27+4.25vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.06+3.98vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.39-1.59vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.79-1.08vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.81+2.16vs Predicted
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9Penn State University0.54-2.52vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-0.81+0.16vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-0.82-0.52vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University-0.54-2.29vs Predicted
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13American University-0.85-2.47vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-0.66-3.97vs Predicted
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15Hampton University-0.04-6.92vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.10-8.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Old Dominion University1.630.2%1st Place
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2.62U. S. Naval Academy2.200.3%1st Place
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7.25U. S. Naval Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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7.98St. Mary's College of Maryland0.060.0%1st Place
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4.41George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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5.92Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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10.16Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.48Penn State University0.540.1%1st Place
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10.16Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
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10.48William and Mary-0.820.0%1st Place
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9.71Christopher Newport University-0.540.0%1st Place
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10.53American University-0.850.0%1st Place
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10.03University of Maryland-0.660.0%1st Place
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8.08Hampton University-0.040.0%1st Place
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7.64St. Mary's College of Maryland0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Conde | 18.9% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen MacWilliams | 32.3% | 25.8% | 17.0% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Christopher | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Lillian Rippel | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 12.1% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 19.4% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Murphy | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 19.4% | 0.0% |
| Finian Knight | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 18.1% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lorson | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 16.3% | 21.6% | 0.0% |
| Eli Leopold | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 16.3% | 0.0% |
| Ivet Bejar | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Cash Espinoza | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.