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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.39+3.22vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.20+0.63vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.63-0.31vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.06+2.80vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.79-0.14vs Predicted
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7Hampton University-0.04+1.19vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.81+1.96vs Predicted
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9Penn State University0.54-2.64vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy0.27-2.76vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-0.82-0.65vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland-0.66-2.10vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-0.81-3.04vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.10-6.30vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University-0.54-5.62vs Predicted
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16American University-1.49-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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2.63U. S. Naval Academy2.200.3%1st Place
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3.69Old Dominion University1.630.2%1st Place
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7.8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.060.0%1st Place
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5.86Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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8.19Hampton University-0.040.0%1st Place
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9.96Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.36Penn State University0.540.1%1st Place
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7.24U. S. Naval Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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10.35William and Mary-0.820.0%1st Place
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9.9University of Maryland-0.660.0%1st Place
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9.96Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
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7.7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.100.0%1st Place
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9.38Christopher Newport University-0.540.0%1st Place
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11.72American University-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 14.3% | 15.6% | 17.6% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen MacWilliams | 31.4% | 26.9% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 18.3% | 18.2% | 16.5% | 15.0% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lillian Rippel | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ivet Bejar | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Murphy | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Liam Christopher | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Finian Knight | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 0.0% |
| Eli Leopold | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Cash Espinoza | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 17.4% | 39.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.