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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.20+1.70vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.63+1.61vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.39+1.22vs Predicted
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4Hampton University-0.04+4.11vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.27+2.33vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.06+1.91vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.10+0.42vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University-0.54+0.44vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-0.81+0.26vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.79-5.23vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.81-1.74vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-0.82-2.68vs Predicted
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14Penn State University0.54-7.52vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-0.66-5.31vs Predicted
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16American University-1.49-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7U. S. Naval Academy2.200.3%1st Place
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3.61Old Dominion University1.630.2%1st Place
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4.22George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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8.11Hampton University-0.040.0%1st Place
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7.33U. S. Naval Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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7.91St. Mary's College of Maryland0.060.0%1st Place
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7.42St. Mary's College of Maryland0.100.0%1st Place
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9.44Christopher Newport University-0.540.0%1st Place
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10.26Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
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5.77Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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10.26Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
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10.32William and Mary-0.820.0%1st Place
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6.48Penn State University0.540.1%1st Place
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9.69University of Maryland-0.660.0%1st Place
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11.73American University-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen MacWilliams | 32.6% | 23.4% | 16.3% | 12.1% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 19.4% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 13.6% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ivet Bejar | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Christopher | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Lillian Rippel | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Cash Espinoza | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| Finian Knight | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Murphy | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Eli Leopold | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 18.0% | 39.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.