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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.10+6.73vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.27+5.16vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.20-0.34vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.63-0.25vs Predicted
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6Hampton University-0.04+2.32vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.79-1.12vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.66+1.73vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.39-4.71vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-0.81+0.48vs Predicted
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11Penn State University0.54-4.40vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University-0.54-2.26vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-0.82-2.57vs Predicted
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14American University-0.85-3.56vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.06-7.22vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech-0.81-5.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.73St. Mary's College of Maryland0.100.0%1st Place
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7.16U. S. Naval Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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2.66U. S. Naval Academy2.200.3%1st Place
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3.75Old Dominion University1.630.2%1st Place
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8.32Hampton University-0.040.0%1st Place
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5.88Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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9.73University of Maryland-0.660.0%1st Place
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4.29George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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10.48Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.6Penn State University0.540.1%1st Place
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9.74Christopher Newport University-0.540.0%1st Place
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10.43William and Mary-0.820.0%1st Place
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10.44American University-0.850.0%1st Place
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7.78St. Mary's College of Maryland0.060.0%1st Place
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10.48Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash Espinoza | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Liam Christopher | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Owen MacWilliams | 33.0% | 23.5% | 17.3% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 17.9% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ivet Bejar | 2.9% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eli Leopold | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 13.6% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 18.2% | 18.9% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Murphy | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Finian Knight | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 21.4% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lorson | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 20.7% | 0.0% |
| Lillian Rippel | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 18.2% | 18.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.