Race 5A

maisa-spring-women-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Piper Holthus 17.3% 14.2% 15.4% 13.6% 12.0% 9.3% 6.7% 5.9% 2.9% 1.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Heather Kerns 7.0% 8.5% 8.2% 10.2% 10.8% 10.9% 11.3% 10.6% 8.0% 6.2% 4.5% 2.3% 1.5% 0.1%
Torrey Chisari 10.1% 11.2% 12.2% 12.7% 11.9% 11.1% 9.8% 7.0% 6.2% 4.2% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Eva Blauvelt 14.2% 14.4% 14.5% 12.2% 12.0% 11.1% 7.7% 6.6% 3.8% 1.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Bridget Green 24.9% 20.1% 16.2% 12.3% 9.3% 7.2% 4.8% 2.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Avery Canavan 4.9% 6.0% 6.3% 7.4% 7.0% 8.8% 9.8% 10.0% 10.2% 10.3% 9.0% 6.6% 3.0% 0.7%
Elizabeth Gildea 4.0% 5.8% 5.7% 5.5% 6.9% 7.1% 8.2% 9.8% 10.7% 9.4% 10.8% 9.0% 5.8% 1.3%
Annika VanderHorst 3.0% 2.8% 4.3% 4.2% 4.5% 5.9% 6.9% 9.0% 9.5% 12.2% 11.9% 13.8% 8.8% 3.2%
Grace Watlington 3.0% 3.2% 3.6% 4.0% 5.3% 5.9% 7.3% 8.1% 10.8% 11.9% 12.0% 11.2% 9.2% 4.3%
Carly Mraz 1.1% 1.1% 1.6% 1.6% 2.0% 2.2% 3.4% 3.7% 4.2% 5.6% 7.8% 12.9% 25.6% 27.3%
Cho-Cho Williams 4.0% 4.2% 4.9% 5.5% 7.3% 8.2% 8.9% 9.2% 12.4% 10.0% 9.9% 8.2% 5.8% 1.7%
Kennedy Jones 1.8% 2.5% 2.6% 2.9% 3.5% 4.3% 6.0% 6.3% 7.3% 10.2% 11.2% 16.7% 17.2% 7.4%
Elizabeth Cutler 4.4% 5.2% 4.0% 7.1% 6.8% 7.0% 7.9% 9.2% 9.2% 11.6% 11.9% 8.7% 5.5% 1.6%
Eva Leggett 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 1.5% 1.9% 3.3% 4.1% 6.9% 8.6% 17.1% 52.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.