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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+5.60vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.19+6.90vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.73+8.16vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+3.53vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin4.10+4.23vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+5.68vs Predicted
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7Tufts University4.08+2.74vs Predicted
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8Stanford University4.19+0.68vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College4.06+0.40vs Predicted
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10Harvard University4.36-1.88vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.98-1.09vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.49+0.45vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.78-1.80vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University3.36-1.25vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University4.01-5.20vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-1.05vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-7.25vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.34-5.02vs Predicted
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19Boston College3.88-8.70vs Predicted
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20Bowdoin College2.90-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.6Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.9Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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11.16University of Vermont3.730.0%1st Place
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7.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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9.23University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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11.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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9.74Tufts University4.080.0%1st Place
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8.68Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.4Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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8.12Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.91Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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12.45University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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11.2Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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12.75Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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9.8Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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14.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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9.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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12.98U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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10.3Boston College3.880.0%1st Place
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14.87Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 10.7% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Morris | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Olin Davis | 4.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% |
| Samuel Blouin | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% |
| William Haeger | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Kieran Chung | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Sam Williams | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Brendan Kopp | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Colin Smith | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Will Stocke | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% |
| Kevin Martland | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.2% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 26.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Devin Laviano | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% |
| Alex Cook | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Peter Edmunds | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.