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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University-0.04+7.08vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.20+0.60vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.39+1.24vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.27+3.38vs Predicted
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5Penn State University0.54+1.61vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.63-2.19vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.10+0.54vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.79-2.16vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.82+0.46vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.06-2.94vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University-0.54-2.29vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland-0.66-2.96vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-0.81-3.73vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech-0.81-4.73vs Predicted
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16American University-0.85-5.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.08Hampton University-0.040.0%1st Place
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2.6U. S. Naval Academy2.200.3%1st Place
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4.24George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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7.38U. S. Naval Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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6.61Penn State University0.540.1%1st Place
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3.81Old Dominion University1.630.2%1st Place
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7.54St. Mary's College of Maryland0.100.0%1st Place
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5.84Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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10.46William and Mary-0.820.0%1st Place
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8.06St. Mary's College of Maryland0.060.0%1st Place
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9.71Christopher Newport University-0.540.0%1st Place
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10.04University of Maryland-0.660.0%1st Place
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10.27Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
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10.27Virginia Tech-0.810.0%1st Place
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10.37American University-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivet Bejar | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Owen MacWilliams | 31.9% | 26.5% | 17.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 14.3% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Christopher | 4.2% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Murphy | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 17.0% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cash Espinoza | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Finian Knight | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 20.1% | 0.0% |
| Lillian Rippel | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 1.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Eli Leopold | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 19.0% | 0.0% |
| Ray McDonald | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 19.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lorson | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 18.8% | 18.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.