Race 12B

riley-cup

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Owen MacWilliams 33.1% 23.0% 16.1% 12.4% 7.3% 3.4% 2.7% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Liam Christopher 4.6% 5.8% 7.5% 8.7% 7.7% 8.1% 10.5% 9.8% 9.8% 11.4% 5.9% 5.3% 3.5% 1.4% 0.0%
Marina Conde 18.5% 19.8% 14.7% 13.9% 12.4% 8.6% 5.8% 3.4% 1.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Watlington 6.9% 8.2% 11.0% 10.5% 11.1% 13.8% 9.8% 6.6% 8.3% 6.2% 3.8% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Joseph Murphy 4.9% 6.1% 8.3% 9.1% 9.5% 11.9% 9.8% 10.1% 8.8% 7.7% 7.6% 2.9% 2.0% 1.3% 0.0%
Jedidiah Bechtel 13.4% 13.9% 15.3% 13.3% 13.2% 10.5% 7.1% 6.0% 3.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ivet Bejar 4.1% 3.7% 6.3% 6.3% 5.8% 8.0% 9.6% 9.0% 9.5% 9.9% 9.2% 8.6% 6.7% 3.3% 0.0%
Noah Hubbard 2.4% 2.7% 2.8% 3.9% 5.0% 4.7% 5.6% 7.1% 9.2% 7.3% 12.1% 10.7% 12.9% 13.6% 0.0%
Cash Espinoza 3.7% 4.1% 4.3% 5.8% 7.4% 8.0% 11.4% 9.4% 10.9% 9.8% 9.9% 7.1% 5.4% 2.8% 0.0%
Eli Leopold 1.8% 1.7% 2.6% 2.3% 3.3% 5.0% 5.5% 6.6% 7.4% 10.0% 10.6% 11.9% 14.3% 17.0% 0.0%
Finian Knight 0.9% 2.1% 1.6% 2.3% 3.7% 3.2% 4.9% 5.8% 7.6% 7.5% 10.3% 13.8% 16.4% 19.9% 0.0%
Brooke Lorson 0.9% 1.4% 2.8% 2.5% 3.3% 2.9% 4.7% 5.9% 7.0% 8.0% 10.8% 13.9% 15.6% 20.3% 0.0%
Lillian Rippel 3.7% 5.2% 4.6% 6.0% 7.2% 7.8% 8.2% 11.4% 9.8% 10.4% 9.5% 8.0% 5.1% 3.1% 0.0%
Ray McDonald 1.1% 2.3% 2.1% 3.0% 3.1% 4.1% 4.4% 7.9% 6.3% 8.2% 8.9% 14.9% 16.8% 16.9% 0.0%
Ray McDonald 1.1% 2.3% 2.1% 3.0% 3.1% 4.1% 4.4% 7.9% 6.3% 8.2% 8.9% 14.9% 16.8% 16.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.