Race 13B

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Jedidiah Bechtel 13.3% 16.7% 16.6% 13.2% 11.6% 9.1% 8.0% 5.7% 2.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Lillian Rippel 3.0% 5.4% 6.2% 6.6% 7.8% 7.0% 10.5% 9.5% 11.2% 9.9% 11.0% 5.2% 4.5% 2.2% 0.0%
Marina Conde 19.6% 17.8% 15.9% 14.5% 11.4% 8.6% 6.6% 3.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen MacWilliams 32.3% 23.7% 16.9% 11.8% 8.1% 3.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Liam Christopher 3.2% 4.7% 6.1% 7.8% 9.0% 9.8% 10.0% 9.5% 11.3% 9.0% 8.9% 5.5% 3.4% 1.8% 0.0%
Cash Espinoza 3.8% 4.2% 4.4% 6.0% 6.6% 11.3% 9.0% 9.6% 9.5% 9.8% 9.4% 8.6% 5.6% 2.2% 0.0%
Noah Hubbard 2.3% 2.9% 2.5% 4.0% 5.8% 6.0% 5.0% 8.3% 9.0% 10.1% 11.1% 12.5% 11.9% 8.6% 0.0%
Ivet Bejar 3.8% 4.3% 4.6% 6.5% 6.6% 8.0% 7.9% 8.7% 9.8% 11.3% 8.6% 9.7% 6.9% 3.3% 0.0%
Grace Watlington 8.4% 7.7% 9.9% 8.9% 12.9% 12.1% 11.0% 8.8% 8.3% 5.9% 2.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Joseph Murphy 5.3% 5.9% 7.9% 10.7% 9.7% 10.8% 11.0% 10.8% 9.9% 7.7% 4.8% 2.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Hannah Arey 0.5% 1.0% 1.3% 1.3% 0.9% 1.8% 2.8% 3.8% 4.4% 6.0% 5.9% 10.0% 17.2% 43.1% 0.0%
Finian Knight 1.0% 1.2% 2.7% 3.0% 2.6% 4.0% 5.4% 6.1% 7.2% 9.0% 13.5% 13.1% 16.2% 15.0% 0.0%
Eli Leopold 2.2% 2.1% 2.1% 3.6% 3.9% 4.2% 5.3% 7.5% 8.8% 10.0% 11.8% 13.7% 15.7% 9.1% 0.0%
Ray McDonald 1.3% 2.4% 2.9% 2.1% 3.1% 3.8% 5.0% 7.8% 6.5% 8.7% 11.4% 15.9% 15.3% 13.8% 0.0%
Ray McDonald 1.3% 2.4% 2.9% 2.1% 3.1% 3.8% 5.0% 7.8% 6.5% 8.7% 11.4% 15.9% 15.3% 13.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.