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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.15+4.45vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.56+2.33vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.53+4.60vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.88+2.53vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.60+2.39vs Predicted
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6Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64+1.30vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.64+0.33vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.36+0.09vs Predicted
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9University of Miami-0.08+0.62vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.84-3.40vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.13+1.78vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.31-3.67vs Predicted
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13University of Florida-1.10-0.22vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.60-6.77vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.53-3.70vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-1.30-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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4.33University of South Florida1.560.2%1st Place
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7.6Jacksonville University0.530.1%1st Place
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6.53University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
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7.39Jacksonville University0.600.1%1st Place
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7.3Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.1%1st Place
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7.33Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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8.09University of South Florida0.360.1%1st Place
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9.62University of Miami-0.080.0%1st Place
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6.6Jacksonville University0.840.1%1st Place
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12.78Embry-Riddle University-1.130.0%1st Place
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8.33Rollins College0.310.1%1st Place
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12.78University of Florida-1.100.0%1st Place
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7.23Jacksonville University0.600.1%1st Place
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11.3Florida Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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13.32University of Central Florida-1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Jones | 12.9% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kailey Warrior | 19.1% | 16.3% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Knowles | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Josh Becher | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Darby Smith | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Dawson Kohl | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Shay Bridge | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Zach O'connor | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Oliver West | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 6.3% | 3.7% |
| Fiona Froelich | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Suhas Medidi | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 14.1% | 18.7% | 27.6% |
| Caleb Kinnear | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Ayden Feria | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 21.5% | 23.5% |
| Will Platten | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 8.6% |
| Ryan Terski | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 22.8% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.