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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.56+3.26vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.60+5.30vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.60+4.37vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.53+3.78vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.36+3.25vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.64+1.30vs Predicted
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7Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64+0.30vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.88-1.77vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-0.53+2.12vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.15-4.43vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-1.10+1.69vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.84-5.48vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-1.30+0.23vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.13-1.20vs Predicted
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15Rollins College0.31-6.52vs Predicted
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16University of Miami-0.08-6.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26University of South Florida1.560.2%1st Place
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7.3Jacksonville University0.600.1%1st Place
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7.37Jacksonville University0.600.1%1st Place
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7.78Jacksonville University0.530.0%1st Place
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8.25University of South Florida0.360.0%1st Place
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7.3Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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7.3Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.1%1st Place
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6.23University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
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11.12Florida Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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5.57University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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12.69University of Florida-1.100.0%1st Place
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6.52Jacksonville University0.840.1%1st Place
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13.23University of Central Florida-1.300.0%1st Place
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12.8Embry-Riddle University-1.130.0%1st Place
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8.48Rollins College0.310.1%1st Place
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9.8University of Miami-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kailey Warrior | 18.9% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Darby Smith | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Will Platten | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Knowles | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Zach O'connor | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Shay Bridge | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Dawson Kohl | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Josh Becher | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 10.0% |
| Grace Jones | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ayden Feria | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 21.1% | 25.4% |
| Fiona Froelich | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Terski | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 20.4% | 31.6% |
| Suhas Medidi | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 20.0% | 24.7% |
| Caleb Kinnear | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Oliver West | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.