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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College1.01+3.57vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.11+5.39vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.93+1.87vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.29+3.01vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.38+1.54vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-0.06+2.16vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.94-2.07vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University-0.98+2.94vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.18-1.80vs Predicted
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10University of Miami-0.03-2.01vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University-0.61-1.13vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida-0.15-3.64vs Predicted
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13Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94-2.14vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-1.16-2.54vs Predicted
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15University of Florida-0.66-4.84vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-3.86-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57Rollins College1.010.2%1st Place
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7.39University of South Florida0.110.1%1st Place
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4.87Jacksonville University0.930.2%1st Place
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7.01Rollins College0.290.1%1st Place
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6.54University of Miami0.380.1%1st Place
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8.16Embry-Riddle University-0.060.1%1st Place
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4.93University of South Florida0.940.2%1st Place
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10.94Jacksonville University-0.980.0%1st Place
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7.2Jacksonville University0.180.1%1st Place
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7.99University of Miami-0.030.1%1st Place
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9.87Jacksonville University-0.610.0%1st Place
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8.36University of South Florida-0.150.1%1st Place
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10.86Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
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11.46Florida Institute of Technology-1.160.0%1st Place
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10.16University of Florida-0.660.0%1st Place
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15.68University of Central Florida-3.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Samis | 15.7% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Menesale | 5.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Parker Thran | 15.1% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Milo Fleming | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Jay | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mason Howell | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 15.6% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Brandon | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 2.4% |
| Mason Mattice | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Vanderground | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Cheyenne Dooley | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 0.5% |
| Beatriz Newland | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Hjort | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 17.3% | 1.8% |
| Noah Scholtz | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 24.0% | 2.8% |
| Justin Tribou | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 0.9% |
| Ashley Flanagan | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 90.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.