Race 6A

maisa-spring-women-fleet-race

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Avery Canavan 5.1% 5.9% 5.6% 6.7% 8.0% 8.3% 7.8% 10.1% 10.3% 10.9% 9.9% 7.0% 3.7% 0.7%
Carly Mraz 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 1.5% 2.4% 2.6% 4.2% 4.3% 6.4% 8.0% 13.4% 26.0% 25.9%
Piper Holthus 17.4% 15.3% 13.4% 12.7% 12.3% 10.2% 7.8% 4.9% 3.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Watlington 3.2% 3.3% 4.3% 3.7% 5.1% 5.9% 7.4% 8.1% 9.7% 10.3% 12.6% 13.1% 9.9% 3.5%
Bridget Green 23.1% 18.7% 17.6% 13.6% 9.5% 7.7% 4.9% 2.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Cutler 4.4% 5.2% 5.5% 7.0% 5.9% 7.2% 9.8% 9.3% 8.8% 10.2% 10.8% 8.9% 4.8% 1.8%
Cho-Cho Williams 4.1% 4.6% 4.8% 5.7% 6.9% 7.2% 9.8% 9.7% 10.2% 11.3% 11.1% 9.2% 4.0% 1.7%
Heather Kerns 7.5% 9.3% 9.5% 10.1% 10.7% 10.2% 10.3% 10.0% 8.5% 6.1% 4.0% 2.5% 1.1% 0.1%
Eva Blauvelt 13.1% 13.8% 14.5% 13.1% 11.8% 10.2% 8.2% 7.0% 4.3% 2.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Torrey Chisari 11.6% 11.6% 10.8% 11.6% 12.0% 10.9% 10.0% 8.3% 5.7% 4.3% 2.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Annika VanderHorst 2.6% 3.0% 3.5% 3.9% 4.0% 5.6% 6.2% 8.0% 12.0% 11.1% 12.0% 13.6% 9.5% 5.0%
Eva Leggett 0.4% 0.9% 0.7% 1.1% 0.7% 1.8% 1.4% 2.4% 2.7% 3.8% 6.3% 9.2% 18.4% 50.2%
Kennedy Jones 2.1% 2.5% 3.0% 3.1% 4.2% 5.1% 4.7% 5.8% 7.8% 9.2% 11.3% 14.2% 17.3% 9.7%
Elizabeth Gildea 4.5% 4.7% 5.2% 6.3% 7.5% 7.2% 9.0% 9.4% 10.5% 12.2% 10.0% 7.1% 4.8% 1.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.