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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.93+3.77vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.11+5.41vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-0.98+8.02vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.94+0.99vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.38+1.60vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.18+1.29vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.29-0.05vs Predicted
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8University of Miami-0.03-0.19vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida-0.15-0.74vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-0.06-1.87vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University-0.61-1.12vs Predicted
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12Rollins College1.01-7.27vs Predicted
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13University of Florida-0.66-3.02vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-1.16-2.48vs Predicted
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15Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94-4.03vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-3.86-0.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77Jacksonville University0.930.2%1st Place
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7.41University of South Florida0.110.1%1st Place
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11.02Jacksonville University-0.980.0%1st Place
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4.99University of South Florida0.940.1%1st Place
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6.6University of Miami0.380.1%1st Place
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7.29Jacksonville University0.180.1%1st Place
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6.95Rollins College0.290.1%1st Place
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7.81University of Miami-0.030.1%1st Place
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8.26University of South Florida-0.150.0%1st Place
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8.13Embry-Riddle University-0.060.1%1st Place
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9.88Jacksonville University-0.610.0%1st Place
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4.73Rollins College1.010.2%1st Place
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9.98University of Florida-0.660.0%1st Place
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11.52Florida Institute of Technology-1.160.0%1st Place
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10.97Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
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15.69University of Central Florida-3.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Thran | 15.1% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sara Menesale | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Conner Brandon | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 2.3% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 13.5% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Jay | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mason Mattice | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Milo Fleming | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Vanderground | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Beatriz Newland | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| Mason Howell | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Cheyenne Dooley | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 0.5% |
| Annie Samis | 15.4% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Tribou | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 1.1% |
| Noah Scholtz | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 24.0% | 3.1% |
| Nathan Hjort | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 18.2% | 2.2% |
| Ashley Flanagan | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 4.6% | 90.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.