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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Embry-Riddle University-0.06+6.91vs Predicted
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2University of Florida-0.66+7.94vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.18+4.21vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.93+0.97vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.11+2.50vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.29+0.86vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.03+1.05vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-1.16+3.46vs Predicted
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9Rollins College1.01-4.33vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University-0.98+1.16vs Predicted
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11University of Miami0.38-4.47vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida0.94-7.10vs Predicted
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13Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94-2.09vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida-0.15-5.78vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University-0.61-4.99vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-3.86-0.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.91Embry-Riddle University-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.94University of Florida-0.660.0%1st Place
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7.21Jacksonville University0.180.1%1st Place
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4.97Jacksonville University0.930.1%1st Place
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7.5University of South Florida0.110.1%1st Place
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6.86Rollins College0.290.1%1st Place
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8.05University of Miami-0.030.1%1st Place
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11.46Florida Institute of Technology-1.160.0%1st Place
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4.67Rollins College1.010.2%1st Place
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11.16Jacksonville University-0.980.0%1st Place
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6.53University of Miami0.380.1%1st Place
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4.9University of South Florida0.940.1%1st Place
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10.91Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
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8.22University of South Florida-0.150.1%1st Place
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10.01Jacksonville University-0.610.0%1st Place
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15.69University of Central Florida-3.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Howell | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Justin Tribou | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 0.8% |
| Mason Mattice | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Parker Thran | 13.0% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sara Menesale | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Milo Fleming | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Vanderground | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Noah Scholtz | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 25.5% | 3.1% |
| Annie Samis | 15.5% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Brandon | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 18.6% | 2.4% |
| Brendan Jay | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 14.8% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Hjort | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 2.0% |
| Beatriz Newland | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Cheyenne Dooley | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 0.8% |
| Ashley Flanagan | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 4.2% | 90.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.