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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.35+2.55vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.86+2.68vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.17+0.90vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.51+1.10vs Predicted
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5Rollins College1.24+0.62vs Predicted
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6Florida State University2.12-2.10vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.20+0.64vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.64-3.01vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.31-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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4.68University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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3.9Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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5.1University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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5.62Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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3.9Florida State University2.120.2%1st Place
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7.64The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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4.99Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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5.62North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 21.5% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Steven Hardee | 9.3% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 3.6% |
| Owen Bannasch | 17.3% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 6.8% |
| Milo Miller | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 17.9% | 12.2% |
| Peter Foley | 16.2% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 14.9% | 55.4% |
| Jordan Vieira | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 7.3% |
| Benjamin Usher | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.