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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.86+3.51vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.35+1.66vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.17+0.90vs Predicted
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4Rollins College1.24+1.73vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.51+0.06vs Predicted
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6Florida State University2.12-2.08vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.31-1.29vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.20-0.42vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.64-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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3.66College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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3.9Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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5.73Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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5.06University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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3.92Florida State University2.120.2%1st Place
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5.71North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
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7.58The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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4.93Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Hardee | 12.5% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 3.7% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 16.7% | 20.4% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Owen Bannasch | 18.3% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Milo Miller | 6.1% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 12.9% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 7.0% |
| Peter Foley | 16.8% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Benjamin Usher | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 18.3% | 10.8% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 54.6% |
| Jordan Vieira | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.