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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.76+6.89vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.43+3.51vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+5.71vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.79+7.79vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.29+4.73vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.92+1.69vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.68+1.39vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.80+3.51vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.50+0.38vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.83-2.26vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16-4.27vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston4.61-6.97vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.67-4.45vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.54-4.87vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-5.09vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-2.13vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.93-5.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89Dartmouth College3.760.1%1st Place
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5.51Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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8.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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11.79University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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9.73Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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7.69University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.39Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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11.51University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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9.38Yale University3.500.0%1st Place
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7.74Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.73St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.1%1st Place
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5.03College of Charleston4.610.2%1st Place
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8.55Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.13Old Dominion University3.540.0%1st Place
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9.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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13.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Dellenbaugh | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Anne Haeger | 12.7% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Patten | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Amanda Johnson | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 13.1% |
| Catherine Swanson | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% |
| Amy Hawkins | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Maggie Shea | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 13.7% |
| Claire Dennis | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 10.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Allison Blecher | 15.2% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Katrina Williams | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Krysta Rohde | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% |
| Jamie Curran | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 37.4% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.