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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.81+2.32vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.31+4.84vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.83+0.15vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.07+0.66vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.33-0.66vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.78-0.30vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-0.40+1.94vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-0.27+0.86vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.28-0.50vs Predicted
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10Unknown School-0.53-0.86vs Predicted
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11Unknown School-0.43-2.06vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-0.98-1.75vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon0.11-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32Western Washington University1.8121.9%1st Place
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6.84Western Washington University0.315.2%1st Place
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3.15University of Washington1.8324.0%1st Place
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4.66University of Washington1.0712.6%1st Place
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4.34Western Washington University1.3313.2%1st Place
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5.7University of Washington0.787.7%1st Place
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8.94University of Oregon-0.401.9%1st Place
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8.86Oregon State University-0.272.6%1st Place
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8.5University of Washington-0.282.6%1st Place
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9.14Unknown School-0.532.1%1st Place
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8.94Unknown School-0.432.3%1st Place
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10.25University of Oregon-0.981.5%1st Place
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8.36University of Oregon0.112.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Hauge | 21.9% | 20.0% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Benjamin Stone | 24.0% | 20.5% | 18.2% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 12.6% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Adam Turloff | 13.2% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kirin Dhaka | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Rowan Clinch | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 12.1% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 11.9% |
| Alice Meng | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 8.9% |
| Hunter Wheaton | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 13.7% |
| jessica Hirschbold | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 12.2% |
| Euseekers Williams | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 31.6% |
| Emily Avey | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.