Race 7A

maisa-spring-women-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Torrey Chisari 11.6% 11.6% 11.1% 11.1% 11.9% 11.5% 9.3% 7.3% 6.7% 3.9% 2.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Eva Blauvelt 15.0% 13.8% 14.1% 11.8% 10.5% 10.9% 9.2% 5.9% 4.0% 2.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Heather Kerns 7.9% 9.0% 8.6% 10.4% 11.3% 10.0% 10.1% 9.2% 6.8% 7.8% 5.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Annika VanderHorst 3.0% 3.5% 4.4% 4.5% 4.8% 5.3% 7.2% 9.0% 9.8% 10.5% 12.2% 13.1% 9.5% 3.3%
Avery Canavan 4.5% 5.9% 6.5% 6.3% 7.2% 9.4% 9.8% 10.9% 9.9% 10.9% 9.0% 5.4% 3.2% 1.0%
Piper Holthus 16.6% 15.5% 15.2% 14.6% 11.2% 9.5% 6.6% 5.0% 3.0% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Elizabeth Gildea 3.4% 5.2% 5.7% 5.8% 6.5% 8.2% 9.1% 10.0% 10.8% 10.8% 10.1% 7.9% 5.5% 1.2%
Bridget Green 22.7% 20.3% 15.3% 13.1% 9.8% 8.5% 4.4% 2.9% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Cutler 4.0% 4.5% 4.9% 6.5% 6.9% 7.2% 8.4% 10.4% 10.3% 10.7% 10.8% 8.6% 5.5% 1.2%
Cho-Cho Williams 4.2% 4.0% 5.3% 5.5% 6.8% 6.9% 7.8% 9.8% 10.9% 11.7% 10.3% 9.9% 5.7% 1.3%
Grace Watlington 3.5% 3.2% 3.8% 4.4% 5.4% 5.5% 7.5% 8.2% 9.4% 10.2% 11.3% 13.5% 10.3% 4.0%
Kennedy Jones 2.0% 1.9% 2.6% 2.9% 4.3% 3.9% 5.9% 5.6% 8.0% 9.0% 12.8% 15.8% 16.2% 8.8%
Carly Mraz 1.1% 1.1% 1.8% 1.8% 2.1% 1.8% 2.5% 3.4% 5.5% 5.7% 8.6% 13.1% 24.8% 26.7%
Eva Leggett 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 1.1% 1.3% 1.4% 2.1% 2.4% 2.9% 3.8% 5.1% 7.8% 18.3% 52.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.