← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+6.56vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.98+7.86vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University4.08+6.53vs Predicted
-
4Yale University4.19+4.91vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College4.06+4.47vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University4.36+2.12vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida3.49+5.52vs Predicted
-
8Boston College3.88+2.05vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University4.01+0.66vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College3.78+0.80vs Predicted
-
11Stanford University4.19-2.02vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University3.36+1.03vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont3.73-1.55vs Predicted
-
14University of Wisconsin4.10-4.74vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University4.71-8.35vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy3.34-3.11vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-2.06vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-6.39vs Predicted
-
19Bowdoin College2.90-4.38vs Predicted
-
20St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-9.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
-
9.86Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
-
9.53Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
-
8.91Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
-
9.47Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
-
8.12Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
-
12.52University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
-
10.05Boston College3.880.0%1st Place
-
9.66Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
-
10.8Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
-
8.98Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
-
13.03Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
-
11.45University of Vermont3.730.0%1st Place
-
9.26University of Wisconsin4.100.0%1st Place
-
6.65Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
-
12.89U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
-
14.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
-
11.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
-
14.62Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
-
10.1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Blouin | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Colin Smith | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| William Haeger | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Sam Williams | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Brendan Kopp | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Will Stocke | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% |
| Alex Cook | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% |
| Dillon Paiva | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Kevin Martland | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Kieran Chung | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% |
| Olin Davis | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Alec Anderson | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Devin Laviano | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 14.7% | 23.1% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 21.7% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.