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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.35+2.38vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.86+2.51vs Predicted
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3Rollins College1.24+2.69vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.64+0.67vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.51-0.04vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.51-0.95vs Predicted
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7Florida State University2.12-3.21vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.31-2.53vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.20-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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4.51University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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5.69Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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4.67Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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4.96Jacksonville University1.510.1%1st Place
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5.05University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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3.79Florida State University2.120.2%1st Place
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5.47North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
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7.48The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 22.7% | 19.1% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Steven Hardee | 10.1% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 3.5% |
| Milo Miller | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 18.8% | 11.4% |
| Jordan Vieira | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 4.5% |
| Hank Seum | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 8.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 10.1% | 6.9% |
| Peter Foley | 16.9% | 17.5% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Benjamin Usher | 9.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 12.3% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 16.6% | 51.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.