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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.13+5.13vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+2.65vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.03+3.61vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.56+1.06vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.57+6.59vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+3.31vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.74+4.25vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.62-0.04vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.43-3.53vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.14+3.12vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-2.76vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-1.64vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.73-5.18vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.06-7.32vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-3.10vs Predicted
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16Boston College0.45-3.74vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.38-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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4.65Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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6.61Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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5.06Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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11.59University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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9.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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11.25Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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7.96Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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5.47Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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13.12University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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8.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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10.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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7.82Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.68Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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11.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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12.26Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
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14.58Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Russler | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 15.9% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.2% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 7.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 5.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| bella casaretto | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 18.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Emma Wang | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 2.8% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Odell | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 9.3% |
| Kate Joslin | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 11.5% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 15.0% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.