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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.43+4.24vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+7.05vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.14+10.02vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.56+1.07vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.06+1.46vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.13+0.50vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+1.11vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+2.17vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.73-1.07vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.03-3.45vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.63-6.11vs Predicted
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12Boston College0.45+0.18vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.57-1.09vs Predicted
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14Boston University-0.38+0.50vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.62-6.85vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.74-4.69vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-5.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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13.02University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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5.07Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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6.46Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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6.5Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.1%1st Place
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10.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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7.93Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.55Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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4.89Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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12.18Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
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11.91University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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14.5Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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8.15Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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11.31Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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11.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bella casaretto | 13.8% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 19.0% | 17.3% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 12.8% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma Wang | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 2.7% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.4% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 16.2% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Joslin | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 10.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 9.3% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 16.7% | 41.2% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 6.3% |
| Caroline Odell | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.