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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin4.10+8.25vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+5.53vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.36+5.28vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.49+8.16vs Predicted
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5Tufts University4.08+4.41vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.78+4.91vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University4.01+3.09vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University4.71-1.55vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College4.06+0.38vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+1.55vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-0.98vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.73-0.66vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.98-2.79vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.19-5.16vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.88-4.67vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.90-1.32vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University3.36-4.34vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.34-5.05vs Predicted
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19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-4.05vs Predicted
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20Stanford University4.19-10.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.25University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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7.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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8.28Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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12.16University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.41Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.91Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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10.09Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
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6.45Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.38Dartmouth College4.060.0%1st Place
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11.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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10.02St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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11.34University of Vermont3.730.0%1st Place
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10.21Brown University3.980.0%1st Place
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8.84Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.33Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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14.68Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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12.66Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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12.95U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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14.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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9.01Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% |
| Samuel Blouin | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Kopp | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Will Stocke | 3.4% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% |
| William Haeger | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% |
| Dillon Paiva | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Alec Anderson | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Williams | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Olin Davis | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Colin Smith | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Alex Cook | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 22.3% |
| Kyle Carney | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% |
| Devin Laviano | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 24.3% |
| Kieran Chung | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.