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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.43+4.23vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.13+4.20vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+7.34vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.06+2.69vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.56-0.08vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+3.29vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.73+0.71vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.63-3.26vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+3.04vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.62-1.99vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.74+0.33vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.57-0.25vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.14+0.17vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.03-7.21vs Predicted
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15Boston College0.45-2.91vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.38-1.48vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-8.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.2Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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10.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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6.69Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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4.92Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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9.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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7.71Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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4.74Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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12.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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8.01Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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11.33Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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11.75University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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13.17University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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6.79Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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12.09Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
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14.52Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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8.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bella casaretto | 13.4% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma Wang | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Lucy Meagher | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.1% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 16.4% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Odell | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 9.8% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 7.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 8.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 19.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kate Joslin | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 11.6% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 19.3% | 37.5% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.