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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.62+6.89vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.56+2.88vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.73+4.72vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.06+2.65vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.74+6.12vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.13+0.54vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.63-2.22vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+3.66vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.03-2.18vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-2.01vs Predicted
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11Boston College0.45+1.23vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.43-6.58vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-2.48vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.57-2.06vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.14-1.88vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-6.73vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.38-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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4.88Harvard University2.560.2%1st Place
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7.72Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.65Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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11.12Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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6.54Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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4.78Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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11.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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6.82Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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7.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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12.23Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
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5.42Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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10.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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11.94University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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13.12University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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9.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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14.48Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Hubbard | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 15.4% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 5.7% |
| Lauren Russler | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 14.5% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Odell | 3.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Kate Joslin | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 10.1% |
| bella casaretto | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Wang | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 8.5% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 18.2% | 19.3% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.