← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.56+3.84vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.73+5.71vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.06+3.49vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+4.13vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University0.74+6.05vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.13+0.53vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.63-2.26vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont0.57+3.57vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+1.54vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University2.03-3.39vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.43-5.54vs Predicted
-
12Boston University-0.38+2.45vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-3.75vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island0.14-0.74vs Predicted
-
15Boston College0.45-2.85vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-3.96vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University1.62-8.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.84Harvard University2.560.2%1st Place
-
7.71Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
-
6.49Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
-
8.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.1%1st Place
-
11.05Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
-
6.53Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
-
4.74Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
-
11.57University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
-
10.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
-
6.61Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
-
5.46Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
-
14.45Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
-
9.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
-
13.26University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
-
12.15Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
-
12.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
-
8.19Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 15.9% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 5.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 14.9% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 8.7% |
| Emma Wang | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| bella casaretto | 13.7% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 41.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 19.6% | 18.7% |
| Kate Joslin | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 9.8% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 9.9% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.