← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University2.03+5.55vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.63+2.68vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.62+5.17vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.13+2.46vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+2.99vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.56-0.81vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University0.74+4.35vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.73-0.33vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University2.06-2.19vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+0.39vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.43-5.42vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-0.01vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont0.57-1.02vs Predicted
-
14Boston College0.45-1.64vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island0.54-3.06vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-6.73vs Predicted
-
17Boston University-0.38-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.55Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
-
4.68Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
-
8.17Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
-
6.46Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
-
7.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.1%1st Place
-
5.19Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
-
11.35Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
-
7.67Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
-
6.81Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
-
10.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
-
5.58Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
-
11.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
-
11.98University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
-
12.36Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
-
11.94University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
-
9.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
-
14.62Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 16.3% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Russler | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 12.5% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 5.4% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Emma Wang | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| bella casaretto | 12.9% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Odell | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 9.6% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 9.9% |
| Kate Joslin | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 13.2% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 11.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 15.2% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.