← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.63+3.63vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.13+4.18vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.56+1.94vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.06+2.57vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College2.43+0.21vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.73+1.81vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+2.06vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.62-0.13vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+2.88vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+0.17vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University0.74+0.10vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont0.57-0.39vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-4.89vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island-0.70+0.96vs Predicted
-
15Boston College0.45-3.04vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University2.03-9.34vs Predicted
-
17Boston University-0.38-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.63Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
-
6.18Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
-
4.94Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
-
6.57Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
-
5.21Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
-
7.81Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
-
9.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
-
7.87Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
-
11.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
-
10.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
-
11.1Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
-
11.61University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
-
8.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.1%1st Place
-
14.96University of Rhode Island-0.700.0%1st Place
-
11.96Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
-
6.66Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
-
14.29Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Hamilton | 15.5% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 13.0% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 12.7% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Ella Hubbard | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Odell | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 6.2% |
| Emma Wang | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 3.5% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 5.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Erin Little | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 19.1% | 44.5% |
| Kate Joslin | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 7.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 22.6% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.