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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.50+4.96vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.80+6.45vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.84+1.92vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.12+7.08vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.90+3.29vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.36+4.22vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-0.58vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.39-1.69vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.69-3.58vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.42-3.57vs Predicted
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11Boston University-0.61+2.00vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-2.60vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.53-3.56vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.37-3.97vs Predicted
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15Boston College0.16-4.04vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-6.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.96Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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8.45University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
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4.92Tufts University1.840.2%1st Place
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11.08Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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8.29Tufts University0.900.1%1st Place
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10.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.360.0%1st Place
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6.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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6.31Dartmouth College1.390.1%1st Place
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5.42Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.43Brown University1.420.1%1st Place
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13.0Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
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9.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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9.44University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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10.03Roger Williams University0.370.0%1st Place
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10.96Boston College0.160.0%1st Place
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9.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavia Smith | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Molly Coghlin | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Maddie Janzen | 15.4% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 14.5% |
| Kiana Beachy | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Kaitlyn Beaver | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% |
| Karya Basaraner | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte West | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 13.0% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Leila Pfrang | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 16.1% | 39.0% |
| Ella Demand | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 4.8% |
| Ella Towner | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Emily Gaillard | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 7.2% |
| Kennedy Laureigh | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 11.2% |
| Meara Conley | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.