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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University0.93+6.34vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+1.99vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38+0.41vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.04+0.43vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.72+0.14vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.13+1.91vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.20+2.86vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-2.10vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.21vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.32+1.43vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-1.22+1.37vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-4.12vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.95-5.34vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.65-5.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.34George Washington University0.935.2%1st Place
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3.99Georgetown University2.2015.3%1st Place
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3.41Cornell University2.3822.9%1st Place
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4.43U. S. Naval Academy2.0415.4%1st Place
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5.14University of Pennsylvania1.7211.5%1st Place
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7.91Fordham University1.133.5%1st Place
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9.86Washington College0.201.6%1st Place
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5.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.977.8%1st Place
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8.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.293.4%1st Place
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11.43Princeton University-0.320.5%1st Place
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12.37SUNY Maritime College-1.220.8%1st Place
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7.88St. Mary's College of Maryland0.674.2%1st Place
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7.66Old Dominion University0.955.2%1st Place
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8.89Christopher Newport University0.652.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Canavan | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 15.3% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 22.9% | 20.6% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 15.4% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 17.3% | 8.9% |
| Heather Kerns | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 3.6% |
| Carly Mraz | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 25.1% | 26.8% |
| Eva Leggett | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 18.1% | 51.7% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.