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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.19+7.95vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.06+7.47vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.98+7.05vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.78+6.82vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.73+6.01vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+5.65vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.49+5.50vs Predicted
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8Tufts University4.08+1.19vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University4.01+0.63vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-2.44vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin4.10-1.63vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University3.36+1.00vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+2.37vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-4.15vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University4.71-8.32vs Predicted
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16Harvard University4.36-7.90vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.34-4.28vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.88-7.56vs Predicted
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19Bowdoin College2.90-4.36vs Predicted
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20Stanford University4.19-10.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.95Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.47Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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10.05Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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10.82Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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11.01University of Vermont3.730.0%1st Place
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11.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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12.5University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.63Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
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7.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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9.37University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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13.0Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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15.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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9.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.0%1st Place
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6.68Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.1Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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12.72U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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10.44Boston College3.880.0%1st Place
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14.64Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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9.02Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Morris | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Sam Williams | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Colin Smith | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Kevin Martland | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Olin Davis | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% |
| Will Stocke | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% |
| William Haeger | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Dillon Paiva | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Samuel Blouin | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Kyle Carney | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 14.8% | 27.7% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.4% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Kopp | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Devin Laviano | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% |
| Alex Cook | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 14.7% | 20.2% |
| Kieran Chung | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.